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Federal election griffith betting line first sports betting site austria

Federal election griffith betting line

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Elections and referendums in Australia. Politics of Australia. Pre Next by-elections referendums Timeline. Bjelkemander branch stacking casual vacancy caucus revolt champagne socialist contempt of Parliament despatch box donkey vote Dorothy Dixer double dissolution faceless men group voting ticket hardworking families how-to-vote card independent politicians Kirribilli agreement Langer vote leadership spill mortgage belt nationalism parliamentary secretary responsible government Stolen Generations working family worm.

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Namespaces Article Talk. Views Read Edit View history. Help Learn to edit Community portal Recent changes Upload file. Download as PDF Printable version. Wikimedia Commons. First party Second party Third party. Scott Morrison. Bill Shorten. Richard Di Natale. Cook NSW. Maribyrnong Vic. Senator for Victoria.

Bob Katter. Katter's Australian. Centre Alliance. Kennedy Qld. If Dutton loses, it will be more than a high profile scalp, it will signal a dramatic shift in the political landscape. Traditionally we rely on polls to gauge how the parties are faring, whether they are the big sample polls like Essential, Ipsos or Newspoll, or party-initiated polls and focus groups. These polls map voting intentions, and these may or may not be accurate, because people do change their minds when confronted by a real ballot paper.

Polls also rely on small samples, which can be unreliable when extrapolated to the electorate at large or even the country as a whole. There is growing interest in betting markets as an additional indicator of election results. These markets are likely to factor in polls, insider information and local knowledge.

Of interest are the odds at electorate level. As of May 16, the following odds are being offered in crucial NSW seats by one of the larger betting firms:. If the punters prove correct, the Coalition would pick up two seats in NSW one from Labor, and one from an independent , but lose two to independents and three to Labor the seat of Farrer is too close to call. Since the Coalition began the campaign with a notional 73 seats, needing 76 for government, a net loss of seats in NSW would land the Coalition with the very difficult task of making up those losses in other states and territories.

Read more: Compare the pair: key policy offerings from Labor and the Coalition in the federal election. She made her feelings clear about what happened during the transition to a Morrison government in an interview with the Sunday Times a couple of weeks ago. She said she could have beaten Shorten , and that she was white-anted in her bid to replace Turnbull as PM.

But she continued to deny rumours that she had backed a difference candidate from the Conservative Christian who was pre-selected to run in Curtin, and that she had lost to Cormann in a power struggle over the seat. Her visit to an early polling station began with her getting some stick from voters.

Perceptive readers might have noticed that Morrison and Shorten were in WA again this week. Hopefully, West Australians enjoyed the attention while it lasted. It will likely be a long time before the major parties are this interested in winning seats in the state. According to the election pendulum, there is only really one significant marginal seat in the state — Boothby Liberal-held on a nominal margin of 2.

Yet, a poll published this week in The Advertiser points to the Liberals holding the seat with a two-party preferred vote of There could be two countervailing trends at play here. The conservative-minded Flint might then seem an unlikely fit for the seat, and as a public supporter of Peter Dutton, may have expected electoral backlash. Both the major party leaders have been in South Australia this week, and inevitably both went to Boothby. Morrison was keen to flag infrastructure as a key selling point, and benefit to the state.

For South Australians on polling day, the real interest will be the eventual makeup of the Senate. Read more: Against the odds, Scott Morrison wants to be returned as prime minister. But who the bloody hell is he? Tasmania has 44 candidates standing for the Senate on Saturday. Of those, the Liberals and Labor are all but guaranteed two seats.

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Labor dominates the central suburbs of the electorate. It would win in South Brisbane, where it polled At Kangaroo Point, where there are more retirees and office professionals living in the apartments, the LNP won In Bulimba, the LNP attracted In a two-party preferred vote, however, Labor narrowly snatched victory in and at the Queensland poll in Professor Bean said he believed it was "early days" in Brisbane before judging whether the increasing proportion of apartment living may mean more traditional voters, as has happened in New Farm, now held by Liberal representatives at local and federal level.

Griffith's three shades of voters shows how close inner-city vote will be. Brisbane Times. About 75 per cent of Greens preferences ended up flowing to Labor, he said. At Carina, Labor took The LNP dominates along the river and towards Coorparoo. Gentrification - is it an issue for inner-city voting in Brisbane? Who is standing in Griffith? The Rise Up Australia Party, which attracted primary votes in September, will not field a candidate in the Griffith byelection.

The Socialist Alliance, which attracted primary votes in September, will not field a candidate in the Griffith byelection. That name change would not be in effect in time for the Griffith by-election, but Mr Lawrence said he hoped it would still send a signal to voters that his party was not running on a race-based anti-immigration platform. Mr Lawrence said Griffith was over-developed, which was affecting the cost of living for the electorate's young people in particular.

Mr Lawrence said a sustainable population was vital to a sustainable economy and the environment. Melanie Thomas will run in Griffith for the Pirate Party on a platform of "civil liberties, intellectual property reform, and increased transparency in government". Mr Windsor said the same would apply to state and council politicians in the area, who are split between Labor and LNP. Griffith byelection more than a two-horse race. The Sydney Morning Herald.

The Greens Mr Ebbs attracted primary votes at the general election. But Mr Ebbs remained realistic about his chances of victory. Palmer United Party 3. However, the PUP will not field a candidate in the Griffith by-election. Independent Greg Sowden 0. Fairfax Media made unsuccessful attempts to contact Mr Sowden.

Family First 0. Katter's Australian Party 0. Mr Sawyer said he could improve on the votes won by Mr Murray. The conservative vote, dissatisfied with the LNP, would be vital to his chances. The Secular Party of Australia 0. Socialist Alliance 0. The Stable Population Party 0.

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The Coalition was running ahead of Labor in two-party opinion polling for much of and , however the mantle of preferred prime minister regularly switched between Howard and Paul Keating. Possums Pollytics, an anonymous weblog, stated that due to the uneven nature of the swings, where safe Liberal seats were swinging up to Polling consistently showed that the economy and national security were the Coalition's strong areas. In August an Ipsos poll showed 39 per cent of voters thought Labor was a better economic manager, compared to 36 per cent for the Coalition, with 25 per cent undecided.

The morning of the election announcement, a special Sun-Herald Taverner survey of people across New South Wales and Victoria had been released, indicating a Labor 2PP of 59 per cent, with the to year-old category voting at 72 per cent.

Howard increased his Preferred PM rating up one per cent to 39 per cent, while Rudd increased his rating up one per cent to 48 per cent. On the day after the election was called, Centrebet had odds of 1. Newspoll a week out from the election of 3, voters in 18 of the Coalition's most marginal seats revealed an ALP 54—46 Coalition 2PP, a swing to Labor of 6—9 per cent.

A uniform swing would see 18—25 seats fall to Labor, The Australian said. Former Labor number-cruncher Graham Richardson , who news. Peter Day, a journalist ex-The Australian , stated two days before the election that, if the Coalition were re-elected, it would be "the biggest polling embarrassment in any developed country since Truman beat Dewey in ". Sky News - Channel 7 -Auspoll exit polls on election day of 2, voters in the 31 most marginal seats suggested a 53 per cent two-party preferred figure to Labor, 53 per cent to Labor in Bennelong , and 58 per cent to Labor in Eden-Monaro.

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia. Results by popular vote by state and territory. Main article: Results of the Australian federal election, House of Representatives. See also: Post-election pendulum for the Australian federal election, and Members of the Australian House of Representatives, — Popular Vote Labor. Two Party Preferred Vote Labor.

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Namespaces Article Talk. Views Read Edit View history. Help Learn to edit Community portal Recent changes Upload file. Download as PDF Printable version. Wikimedia Commons. First party Second party. Kevin Rudd. John Howard. Griffith Qld. Bennelong NSW lost seat. Results by winning party by division for the House of Representatives.

This time around, even Burt the psychic croc chose Bill Shorten to win. Professor Stantic said social media data trends were a stronger indicator of voting trends than traditional polls, which take in a far smaller sample size Australians voting, pictured.

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